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The focus is the first great love between billy and nick and the failure of this relationship. In addition, it is about the friendship and how important it is to cope with problems in order to live. The first assessment here I found odd, because the problems is treated by the parents, but this not the center point is. More Pages to Explore Latest Images. The stocks of the companies I have mentioned have been mixed. I would characterize them as generally higher in price and in line with the overall market, but, in some cases, better.
Today I want to try to make the analogy to the semiconductor industry, which is one I have followed more closely over the years. Semiconductors have proliferated in recent years, with very strong unit growth in all segments. On top of very robust demand, the supply has gone up as well, and Moore's Law has continued to rule. While it may surprise you, worldwide semiconductor billings are very near their all-time high, which is well above the bubble high from If you look at the earnings, though, in the industry, it is clear that only a handful of companies have been able to prosper.
Most have endured what many have called a "profitless prosperity", where everyone is busy working but not making money. Here's a picture of what it looks like:. It's not pretty, is it? The global market has grown 5. Even a company in a much better position in terms of competition, like Intel INTC has struggled over the long haul. I'll spare the chart, but here are the year tallies: Sales up 7. Looking at the peak, their sales today are higher, but their EPS are lower. I know that most of you reading this probably don't care about the semiconductor industry, but I think it illustrates a great point: Just because demand for something is strong, it doesn't mean the suppliers can make money.
Micron is the better example, as natural gas is about as much a commodity as one can imagine. So, yes, while I concur with the experts that the demand outlook is fantastic, we need to focus on supply. There, the game has changed recently, and rather dramatically. We now have these massive "resource plays", and their numbers just keep growing. Just recently, we learned of a massive discovery in the Gulf, the Davy Jones. If you are unfamiliar, you can read about it here.
In any event, the landscape has changed, and with technological advances in both discovery and in production, we can expect sources like Haynesville, Granite Wash, Barnett, Bakken, Eagle Ford, Marcellus, etc. Investors can quit looking at things the way they have historically. Traditionally, following the rig count gave a nice read into the future price, especially when it was depressed.
After all, if producers cut supply, low prices will lift. Such is life for a commodity. Now, there are two dynamics that are driving very high supply despite "less drilling":. For now, the prices of the stocks aren't really reflecting the new reality of supply in my view due to artifically high forward prices that enable the companies to lock in very favorable pricing by hedging.
I have hypothesized that the other side, stodgy utilities that aren't really paid to optimize their purchase price, is to blame. They keep buying expensive gas out in the future to smooth their costs. How long will they keep paying such a high premium? The future I envision is one in which the price of gas is extremely low. I expect that the forward prices will weaken, but producers will keep producing. They have debt to service and capital investments to monetize.
Before I share the highlights from the big gas producers, I wanted to highlight the forward and spot prices again. To strip out seasonality, I include the year-over-year change:. Several observations:. Late last year, they explained why they aren't hedging at all. Smart or just lucky? Here are some big players and others who have already reported:.
Here is the transcript. Petrohawk and a handful of other independent producers are sitting on a lot of homegrown natural gas. Our plan and commitment to drill and hold these valuable leases and assets, particularly, in the Haynesville Shale has proven to be sound.
We hedge, we contract for certain materials and services, we make financing available and we drill to grow. Recently promoted COO Stoneburner summarized the just stunning growth from last year and the plans for this year:. For all of we drilled a total of wells, all of which were successful. The main driver for the Company during once again was the Haynesville Shale.
During , total of 64 wells were placed on production. With the exception of those wells that were purposefully had produced at restricted rates the average initial production rate was This growth was accomplished with a relatively modest drilling program that average slightly less than 11 rigs on average during
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On the Waymo Open Dataset, CenterPoint outperforms all previous single model method by a large margin and ranks first among all Lidar-only submissions. Simple: Two sentences method summary: We use standard 3D point cloud encoder with a few convolutional layers in the head to produce a bird-eye-view heatmap and other dense regression outputs including the offset to centers in the previous frame. Detection is a simple local peak extraction with refinement, and tracking is a closest-distance matching.
Fast and Accurate : Our best single model achieves Extensible : Simple replacement for anchor-based detector in your novel algorithms. We provide a driving sequence clip from the nuScenes dataset. Donwload the folder and put in the main directory. If setup corectly, you will see an output video like red is gt objects, blue is the prediction :.
Then follow the instruction there to reproduce our detection and tracking results. The PointPillarsScatter isn't exported. Download the trained model latest. Merge pfe. We use ScatterND node to connect pfe and rpn. Compare the TensorRT result with Pytorch result. It is developed based on a forked version of det3d. We also incorperate a large amount of code from CenterNet and CenterTrack. Note that both nuScenes and Waymo datasets are under non-commercial licenses. This project is not possible without multiple great opensourced codebases.
We list some notable examples below. Skip to content. Star This commit does not belong to any branch on this repository, and may belong to a fork outside of the repository. Branches Tags. Could not load branches. Could not load tags. Latest commit. Dean and Dean add points and results. Git stats 65 commits.
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